Macro

A Closer Look at the Fiscal Dynamics of Budget 2014

Sri Lanka stands at important crossroads as it makes a decisive transition into a middle-income economy. With GDP growth targeted at 7.5 – 8% over the medium term, the need for effective fiscal consolidation cannot be overemphasized. In this light, …

Sri Lanka’s Middle-Income Transition: Thinking Beyond the “Optics”, to the “Mechanics”

‘The middle-income transition’ – a challenge that dozens of countries are grappling with and, as of late, is increasingly being spoken about in Sri Lanka as well. A recent business forum (by LBR-LBO) was one of the first private sector …

Sri Lanka’s External Stability: Foreign Debt and Export Earnings

In an independent and incisive take on Sri Lanka’s current external stability position, IPS Deputy Director argues that the build-up of external payments stress is a cumulative process, where the lines between external public debt, public-guaranteed external debt, and private sector external debt become blurred, and virtually disappear at times of external payments crises. The most prudent strategy to insulate an economy from rising exposure to foreign debt is to ensure a healthy growth in earnings from exports of goods and services, and build-up a ‘war chest’ of non-borrowed official reserves.

The Role of Tax Incentives in Attracting Investment to Sri Lanka: Time for a Re-think?

Based on a new Working Paper by IPS researchers titled ‘Incentivizing Foreign Investment in Sri Lanka and the Role of Tax Incentives’, this article argues that a key medium-term challenge facing the country is to find a balance between providing a competitive tax incentives regime to attract FDI and keeping tax foregone to a minimum in order to preserve domestic revenue.

Fiscal Imperatives for Growth and Stability

Fiscal consolidation efforts as set out in the Budget 2013 were not entirely unexpected.[1] With revenue collection falling short of the target, adjustments to ensure that the deficit for 2012 remains close to the forecast 6.2% of GDP is to …